Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday


	Brest		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.4	3.35	2.07
	3.5	3.5	1.95
	3.53	3.66	1.89
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.75)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
26.3%

Draw
26.7%

Osasuna
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

25.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osasuna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasuna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	25%	43.7%

Brest - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Osasuna will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Brest is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osasuna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
13.11.22	Brest - Troyes	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Nice - Brest	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Brest - Reims	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Clermont - Brest	1:3 ✺
16.10.22	Nantes - Brest	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWL
- Osasuna
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Osasuna - Lorient	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Fuentes - Osasuna	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.11.22	Osasuna - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Osasuna - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWW

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