Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Voyo
France	Amazon Prime Video
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Clermont		Brest

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2.05
	3.55	3.45	2.08	Watch
	3.8	3.35	2.2
	3.89	3.38	2.11
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.78	3.54	2.13	Watch
	3.75	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.61)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.09 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
25.8%

Draw
28.3%

Brest
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.9%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	15.3%	76.3%

Clermont - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 5 - 8.5%). Brest will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 65.4% – 87.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 17. Pelmard A. 4. Matsima C. 5. Caufriez M. 10. Muhammed Cham 12. Gonalons M. (C) 25. Gastien J. 3. Neto Borges 8. Boutobba B. 26. Virginius A. 23. Nicholson S.	40. Bizot M. (G) 27. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 25. Le Cardinal J. 2. Locko B. 45. Camara M. 20. Lees-Melou P. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 9. Mounie S. 26. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
11. Allevinah J. 97. Jacquet J. 6. Keita H. 95. Kyei G. 7. Magnin Y. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 21. Ogier F. 18. Rashani E. 2. Zeffane M.	21. Brahimi B. 11. Camblan A. 18. Cartillier A. 30. Coudert G. (G) 23. Doumbia K. 14. Lebeau A. 22. Le Douaron J. 28. Martin J. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Gastien P.	Roy E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brest will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Clermont won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
04.02.24	Lille - Clermont	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.01.24	Nantes - Clermont	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Metz - Clermont	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTLWW
- Stade Brestois 29
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.02.24	Brest - Nice	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.24	Trélissac - Brest	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.01.24	Brest - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.12.23	Brest - Clermont	3:0
21.05.23	Brest - Clermont	2:1
23.10.22	Clermont - Brest	1:3
01.05.22	Brest - Clermont	2:0
19.09.21	Clermont - Brest	1:1
French Ligue 2
29.03.19	Brest - Clermont	0:0
29.10.18	Clermont - Brest	2:2

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