Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Belgium	DAZN 1
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Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
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France	DAZN 2, DAZN 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
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United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
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Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Brest		Reims

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.8
	1.72	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.72	3.85	5.2
	1.76	3.66	4.81	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.8
	1.77	3.87	5.22	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.94)	3.74 ↑ (3.54)	4.92 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Brest
55.1%

Draw
25.5%

Reims
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brest's performance.

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.9%	21.6%	13.5%

Brest - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). Reims will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bizot M. (G) 7. Lala K. 25. Le Cardinal J. 3. Ndiaye A. 22. Haidara M. 20. Lees-Melou P. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 45. Camara M. 21. Faivre R. 26. Pereira Lage M. 19. Ajorque L.	94. Diouf Y. (C) 3. Hiroki S. 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 18. Akieme S. 24. Gbane M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 72. Kone A. 67. Diakhon M. 85. Ibrahim H. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
23. Amavi J. 18. Bourgault J. 30. Coudert G. (G) 35. Diop S. 9. Doumbia K. 6. Fernandes E. 33. Makalou H. 28. Martin J. 12. Zogbe L.	23. Buta 16. Butelle L. (G) 22. Diakite O. 7. Ito J. 31. Jeng M. 73. Orazi I. 30. Patrick J. 55. Sangui N. 87. Tia A.
Coaches
Roy E.	Diawara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Nakamura K. 🟨,
19', Atangana Edoa V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Magnetti H. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
64', Diakhon M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
68', Kone A. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
69', Ibrahim H. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
76', Doumbia K. 🟨,
77', Camara M. ↓, Fernandes E. ↑,
77', Faivre R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
85', Hiroki S. 🟨,
88', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
90+1', Haidara M. 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brest won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Brest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brest is a favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Del Castillo R. (Knee Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury) Sima A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Gabriel Moscardo (Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Olliero A. (Ankle Injury) Siebatcheu J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Chardonnet B. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Brest won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 0.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
09.03.25	Brest - Angers	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
26.02.25	Brest - Dunkerque	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.02.25	Strasbourg - Brest	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLTL
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
09.03.25	Reims - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Monaco - Reims	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
25.02.25	Angers - Reims	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.25	Rennes - Reims	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Reims - Angers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.10.24	Reims - Brest	1:2
10.05.24	Brest - Reims	1:1
17.09.23	Reims - Brest	1:2
09.04.23	Reims - Brest	1:1
30.10.22	Brest - Reims	0:0
20.02.22	Reims - Brest	1:1
17.10.21	Brest - Reims	1:1

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