Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nice		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.44	3.24
	2.26	3.45	3.13	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.38	3.44	3.29	Watch
	2.33	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
41.4%

Draw
28.6%

Brest
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	15%	10%

Nice - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 61.6% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Brest (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nice will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 12 - 80%). Brest (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dupe M. (G) 92. Clauss J. 4. Dante (C) 37. Peprah K. 2. Abdi A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 99. Abdul Samed S. 25. Cho M. 8. Sanson M. 10. Diop S. 11. Wahi E.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
23. Bernardeau G. 32. Boudache K. 6. Boudaoui H. 80. Diouf Y. (G) 21. Jansson I. 20. Louchet T. 33. Mendy A. 22. Ndombele T. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)	4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 26. Le Cardinal J. 71. Le Guen R. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Puel C.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Del Castillo R. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 0 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
33', Wahi E. 🟨,
42', Doumbia K. 🟨,
44', Labeau Lascary R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
58', Peprah K. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Abdi A. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
66', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
67', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
68', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
70', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Wahi E. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
73', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
74', Coulibaly S. ↓, Diaz Jr. M. ↑,
82', Wahi E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
83', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
85', Del Castillo R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
87', Boudaoui H. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

Nice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brest has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.

Nice might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bah J. (Yellow Cards) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Boudaoui H. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nice won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.6:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.58% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Toulouse - Nice	5:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Brest - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Avranches - Brest	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1
17.05.25	Nice - Brest	6:0
02.11.24	Brest - Nice	0:1
04.02.24	Brest - Nice	0:0
01.10.23	Nice - Brest	0:0
16.04.23	Brest - Nice	1:0
06.11.22	Nice - Brest	1:0

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