Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Onefootball


	Nantes		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.15	Watch
	2.43	3.3	3.24
	2.42	3.24	3.03	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.9
	2.4	3.37	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.1 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
39.9%

Draw
29.3%

Brest
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Nantes - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Brest will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Nantes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Brest (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (C) 24. Guilbert F. 2. Ali Youssef 3. Cozza N. 27. Machado D. 13. Coquelin F. 17. Tabibou D. 28. Sissoko I. 8. Lepenant J. 37. Ganago I. 31. Mostafa Mohamed	30. Coudert G. (G) 12. Zogbe L. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
10. Abline M. 22. Acapandie M. 6. Awaziem C. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 72. Doucoure S. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 26. Radakovic U.	29. Diop S. 21. Kante I. Y. 77. Lala K. 71. Le Guen R. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L.
Coaches
Halilhodzic V.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Coquelin F. (A),
41', Guindo D. 🟨,
45+1', Del Castillo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Coquelin F. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
56', Leroux L. 🟨,
65', Tabibou D. 🟥,
67', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
67', Guindo D. ↓, Lala K. ↑,
69', Halilhodzic V. 🟥,
77', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Abline M. ↑,
78', Magnetti H. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
90+1', Ganago I. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
90+4', Lopes A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Chardonnet B. ⚽, Del Castillo R. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.

Nantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Nantes: Amian K. (Injury) Centonze F. (Injury) Tati T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Diaz Jr. M. (Yellow Cards) Doumbia K. (Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Cabella R. (Inactive) Guirassy B. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.62%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
11.04.26	Auxerre - Nantes	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nantes - Angers	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monaco - Brest	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.10.25	Brest - Nantes	0:0
07.02.25	Nantes - Brest	0:2
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Brest - Nantes	2:1
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Brest - Nantes	4:1
04.05.24	Brest - Nantes	0:0
17.12.23	Nantes - Brest	0:2
03.05.23	Brest - Nantes	2:0

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