Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Bishops Stortford		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.32	3.25	2.7
	2.37	3.39	2.77
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.35	3.28	2.75
	2.4	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.7 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
38.4%

Draw
28%

Hornchurch
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Bishops Stortford - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bishops Stortford: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bishop's Stortford won 2.

Recent matches Bishop's Stortford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hornchurch in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hornchurch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hornchurch have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bishop's Stortford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bishop's Stortford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.22	Bishops Stortford - Potters Bar Town	1:1 ✺
06.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Enfield Town - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Bishops Stortford - Margate	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leamington - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTL
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.22	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Potters Bar Town - Hornchurch	2:5 ✺
19.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
15.11.22	Billericay Town - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.08.22	Hornchurch - Bishops Stortford	2:1
08.01.22	Hornchurch - Bishops Stortford	2:0
11.09.21	Bishops Stortford - Hornchurch	1:0
26.09.20	Bishops Stortford - Hornchurch	1:0
22.02.20	Bishops Stortford - Hornchurch	0:2
28.09.19	Hornchurch - Bishops Stortford	4:0
23.03.19	Hornchurch - Bishops Stortford	0:1

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