Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.3
	3.15	3.4	2.32
	3.3	3.43	2.31
	2.93	3.39	2.40	Watch
	3.26	3.36	2.34	Watch
	3.14	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.93)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
30.3%

Draw
28.4%

Bournemouth
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

28.4%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.9%	22.6%	35.5%

Sunderland - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 25.6% – 61%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 6 - 50%). Bournemouth (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sunderland (2.29) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Bournemouth (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 25. Traore B. 28. Le Fee E. 7. Talbi C. 18. Isidor W.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 18. Diakite B. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 24. Semenyo A. 16. Tavernier M. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
24. Adingra S. 9. Brobbey B. 6. Geertruida L. 32. Hume T. 12. Mayenda E. 14. Mundle R. 4. Neil D. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C.	7. Brooks D. 4. Cook L. 40. Dennis W. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 19. Kluivert J. 22. Kroupi E. J. 44. Milosavljevic V. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Adli A. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Adams T. ⚽,
21', Alderete O. 🟨,
25', Scott A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Le Fee E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Scott A. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
46', 2 - 2, Traore B. ⚽, Xhaka G. (A),
63', Traore B. ↓, Hume T. ↑,
63', Talbi C. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
63', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
65', Hume T. 🟨,
69', 3 - 2, Brobbey B. ⚽, Le Fee E. (A),
71', Adli A. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
71', Adams T. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
80', Evanilson ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
80', Smith A. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
86', Semenyo A. 🟨,
86', Le Fee E. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
90', Roefs R. 🟨,
90+1', Senesi M. 🟨,
90+3', Brooks D. 🟨,
90+3', Mukiele N. 🟨,
90+6', Cook L. 🟥,
90+8', Mundle R. 🟨,
90+12', Tavernier M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Groin Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Bournemouth - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
22.11.25	Fulham - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Sunderland - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
03.11.25	Sunderland - Everton	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chelsea - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LTTWW
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
22.11.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
29.04.17	Sunderland - Bournemouth	0:1
05.11.16	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:2
23.01.16	Sunderland - Bournemouth	1:1
19.09.15	Bournemouth - Sunderland	2:0

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