Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	2.18	3.2	3.7
	2.15	3.25	3.9
	2.11	3.25	3.70	Watch
	2.19	3.38	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	3.74 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
44.9%

Draw
29.4%

Sunderland
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

29.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.7%	34.8%	19.6%

Fulham - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 20 - 44.4%). Sunderland will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 35.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 29.9% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sunderland (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Fulham (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 4 - 40%). Sunderland (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 17. Iwobi A. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 24. King J. 22. Kevin 7. Jimenez R.	22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 6. Geertruida L. 17. Mandava R. 25. Traore B. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 28. Le Fee E. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 19. Chukwueze S. 15. Cuenca J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A.	24. Adingra S. 15. Alderete O. 9. Brobbey B. 26. Masuaku A. 12. Mayenda E. 4. Neil D. 13. O'Nien L. 1. Patterson A. (G) 7. Talbi C.
Coaches
Silva M.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ballard D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Traore B. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
64', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
64', King J. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
64', Kevin ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
79', Mandava R. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Jimenez R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
88', Hume T. 🟨,
89', Iwobi A. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
90', Hume T. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
90', Mandava R. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
90+3', Leno B. 🟨,
90+4', Wilson H. 🟨,
90+4', Wilson H. ↓, Castagne T. ↑,
90+5', Jimenez R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fulham could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fulham: Lukic S. (Yellow Cards) Robinson A. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Fulham	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Fulham - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
08.11.25	Sunderland - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
03.11.25	Sunderland - Everton	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chelsea - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
08.02.23	Sunderland - Fulham	2:3
28.01.23	Fulham - Sunderland	1:1
English League Championship
27.04.18	Fulham - Sunderland	2:1
16.12.17	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0
English FA Cup
03.02.15	Fulham - Sunderland	1:3
24.01.15	Sunderland - Fulham	0:0
English Premier League
11.01.14	Fulham - Sunderland	1:4

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