Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Ground (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Albania	15:05	SuperSport 5
Argentina	11:05	Disney+
Armenia	18:05	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	01:05	Stan Sport
Austria	15:05	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:05	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:05	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	09:05	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, FuboTV
China	22:05	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	15:05	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:05	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	15:05	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	16:05	Viaplay
France	15:05	Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	18:05	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:05	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	16:05	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	22:05	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	14:05	SÝN Sport 4
India	19:35	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	21:05	SCTV, Vidio
Italy	15:05	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	23:05	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:05	Setanta Sports
Kenya	17:05	Gotv
Kosovo	15:05	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	22:05	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Maldives	19:05	Medianet
Malta	15:05	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	08:05	HBO Max
Mongolia	22:05	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	20:35	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:50	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	15:05	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:05	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Norway	15:05	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	09:05	Disney+
Poland	15:05	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	14:05	DAZN / App
Romania	16:05	Voyo
Serbia	15:05	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Singapore	22:05	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	15:05	Voyo
Slovenia	15:05	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	16:05	SuperSport Action
South Korea	23:05	Coupang Play
Spain	15:05	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:05	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	15:05	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	22:05	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	21:05	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	16:05	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	14:05	Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	11:05	Disney+
Usa	09:05	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	10:05	Disney+
Vietnam	21:05	K+ CINE, K+, TV 360


	Nottingham Forest		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.45
	2.88	3.35	2.52
	2.98	3.31	2.57
	2.73	3.53	2.49	Watch
	2.9	3.34	2.59	Watch
	2.85	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)	3.36 ↓ (3.47)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
33.3%

Draw
28.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	26.7%	21.7%

Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 31 - 51.7%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 13 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 39.1% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.89) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Nottingham (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Nottingham (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 16. Dominguez N. 19. Igor Jesus	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. De Cuyper M. 27. Wieffer M. 26. Ayari Y. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 25. Gomez D. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 30. Boly W. 23. Cunha 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 21. Hutchinson O. 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 22. Yates R.	17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 8. Gruda B. 13. Hinshelwood J. 19. Kostoulas C. 23. Steele J. (G) 9. Tzimas S. 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', Wieffer M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, De Cuyper M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ndoye D. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
46', Dominguez N. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
56', Rutter G. ↓, Hinshelwood J. ↑,
65', Welbeck D. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
74', Sangare I. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
75', Igor Jesus ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
84', Minteh Y. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
84', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
84', De Cuyper M. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
85', Gibbs-White M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Tzimas S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 2.

Nottingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brighton & Hove has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Bakwa D. (Injury) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Gunn A. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Muscle Injury) Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Gibbs-White M. (Injury) Murillo (Calf Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Malmö	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWTT
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
29.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:1 penalties
English Premier League
01.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	7:0
22.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:2
10.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	1:0
25.11.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3
26.04.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1
18.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:0

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