Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.45
	2.88	3.35	2.52
	2.98	3.31	2.57
	2.73	3.53	2.49	Watch
	2.9	3.34	2.59	Watch
	2.85	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)	3.36 ↓ (3.47)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
33.3%

Draw
28.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.2%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	26.7%	21.7%

Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 31 - 51.7%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 13 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 39.1% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.89) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Nottingham (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Nottingham (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 16. Dominguez N. 19. Igor Jesus	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. De Cuyper M. 27. Wieffer M. 26. Ayari Y. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 25. Gomez D. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 30. Boly W. 23. Cunha 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 21. Hutchinson O. 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 22. Yates R.	17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 8. Gruda B. 13. Hinshelwood J. 19. Kostoulas C. 23. Steele J. (G) 9. Tzimas S. 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', Wieffer M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, De Cuyper M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ndoye D. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
46', Dominguez N. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
56', Rutter G. ↓, Hinshelwood J. ↑,
65', Welbeck D. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
74', Sangare I. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
75', Igor Jesus ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
84', Minteh Y. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
84', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
84', De Cuyper M. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
85', Gibbs-White M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Tzimas S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 2.

Nottingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brighton & Hove has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Bakwa D. (Injury) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Gunn A. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Muscle Injury) Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Gibbs-White M. (Injury) Murillo (Calf Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Malmö	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWTT
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
29.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:1 penalties
English Premier League
01.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	7:0
22.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:2
10.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	1:0
25.11.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3
26.04.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1
18.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:0

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