Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	19:00	Toffee Live
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Estonia	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	16:00	Viaplay
France	15:00	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 9, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
Iceland	13:00	SÝN Sport 5
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 4
Italy	15:00	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kosovo	15:00	SuperSport 4
Lithuania	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	07:00	FOX One, Tubi TV
Mongolia	21:00	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	19:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	14:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	21:00	Hub Premier 3
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	16:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Go
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	FPT Play


	Bournemouth		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.40	3.40
	2.18	3.3	3.45
	2.23	3.4	3.58
	2.26	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.5
	2.2	3.54	3.6	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)	3.4 ↓ (3.66)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
43.8%

Draw
28.3%

Sunderland
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Bournemouth - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.95) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 5. Hill J. 14. Silva A. 3. Truffert A. 12. Adams T. 10. Christie R. 37. Rayan 4. Cook L. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson	22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 4. Danso K. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 32. Hume T. 11. Rigg C. 28. Le Fee E. 57. Tuterov T.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 7. Brooks D. 18. Diakite B. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 11. Gannon-Doak B. 19. Kluivert J. 30. Rodriguez A. 24. Sanchez J. 6. Soler J.	29. Ahoka J. 50. Angulo J. 10. Angulo N. 19. Diarra H. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 39. Fofana M. 6. Methalie D. 13. O'Nien L. 7. Talbi C.
Coaches
Rose M.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Tavernier M. ⚽, Evanilson (A),
17', Danso K. 🟥,
26', Silva A. 🟨,
40', Alderete O. 🟨,
45+6', Cook L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Evanilson ⚽,
59', Tuterov T. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
59', Alderete O. ↓, O'Nien L. ↑,
63', Cook L. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
65', Rigg C. 🟨,
65', Rigg C. ↓, Ahoka J. ↑,
79', Christie R. 🟨,
79', Evanilson ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', Tavernier M. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
89', Adams T. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
89', Rayan ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Championship and 18th in the Relegation - Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bournemouth holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Scott A. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sunderland: Ballard D. (Muscle Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Mundle R. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bournemouth: Milosavljevic V. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sunderland: Isidor W. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bournemouth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12:13	-1	9
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.43% Sunderland: 0.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Bournemouth - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Real Sociedad - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWT
- Sunderland AFC
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Torreense - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sunderland - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1
29.11.25	Sunderland - Bournemouth	3:2
29.04.17	Sunderland - Bournemouth	0:1
05.11.16	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:2
23.01.16	Sunderland - Bournemouth	1:1
19.09.15	Bournemouth - Sunderland	2:0

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