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Bournemouth - Sunderland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 28
  • Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Bournemouth Sunderland
    Bournemouth Sunderland
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.82
    (1.82)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.85)    		 4.39 ↑
    (4.27)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Bournemouth
    52.4%    		Draw
    25.8%    		Sunderland
    21.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    52.7% 24.9% 22.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    53.5% 24.5% 22.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    76.7% 20% 3.3%

    Bournemouth - Sunderland Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). Sunderland will win (votes: 2 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 66% – 87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Bournemouth (1.24) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Sunderland (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Bournemouth (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bournemouth will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 16 - 80%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 15%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SerbiaPetrovic D. (G)
    20. SpainJimenez A.
    23. EnglandHill J.
      5. ArgentinaSenesi M.
      3. FranceTruffert A.
    12. USAAdams T.
      8. EnglandScott A.
    37. BrazilRayan
      7. WalesBrooks D. (C)
    16. EnglandTavernier M.
    22. FranceKroupi E. J.
    		22. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G)
      6. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
      5. NorthernBallard D.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
    32. NorthernHume T.
    19. SenegalDiarra H.
    34. SwitzerlandXhaka G. (C)
    27. DRSadiki N.
      7. MoroccoTalbi C.
    12. SpainMayenda E.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
    Substitutes
    21. MoroccoAdli A.
    10. ScotlandChristie R.
    18. FranceDiakite B.
      9. BrazilEvanilson
    29. GreeceMandas C. (G)
    44. SerbiaMilosavljevic V.
    15. EnglandSmith A.
    27. HungaryToth A.
    26. TurkeyUnal E.
    		30. SerbiaAleksic M.
    10. EcuadorAngulo N.
    31. SwedenEllborg M. (G)
    18. FranceIsidor W.
    50. EnglandJones H.
    51. EnglandJones J.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L.
    11. EnglandRigg C.
    25. BurkinaTraore B.
    Coaches
         SpainIraola A.
    		     FranceLe Bris R.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 18', 0 - 1, Mayenda E. ⚽,
    • 33', Sadiki N. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Brooks D. ↓, Evanilson ↑,
    • 58', Adams T. 🟨,
    • 62', Adams T. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
    • 63', 1 - 1, Evanilson ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
    • 69', Talbi C. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
    • 74', Roefs R. 🟨,
    • 76', Xhaka G. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
    • 81', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
    • 81', Tavernier M. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
    • 85', Evanilson ↓, Toth A. ↑,
    • 87', Toth A. 🟨,
    • 90', Christie R. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Scott A. 🟨,
    • 90+6', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,

    Preview

  • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
  • Bournemouth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Sunderland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Bournemouth is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Bournemouth: Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Injury)
  • There will not play in Sunderland: Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Hamstring Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There are questionable in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Bournemouth: 0.37% Sunderland: 0.15%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    14Sunderland51136:10-44
    17Bournemouth50326:8-23

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AFC Bournemouth
    English Premier League
    21.02.26 West Ham United - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺
    10.02.26 Everton - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    07.02.26 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 1:1 ✺
    31.01.26 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth 0:2 ✺
    24.01.26 Bournemouth - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7
    TWTWW
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    22.02.26 Sunderland - Fulham 1:3 ✺
    English FA Cup
    15.02.26 Oxford United - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    11.02.26 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    07.02.26 Arsenal - Sunderland 3:0 ✺
    02.02.26 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5
    LWLLW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    29.11.25 Sunderland - Bournemouth 3:2
    29.04.17 Sunderland - Bournemouth 0:1
    05.11.16 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1:2
    23.01.16 Sunderland - Bournemouth 1:1
    19.09.15 Bournemouth - Sunderland 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AFC Bournemouth
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Bournemouth - Sturm Graz ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Chelsea - Bournemouth ✺
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Torreense - Sunderland ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion ✺

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