The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melbourne City 51.6%
Draw 24.3%
Western Sydney Wanderers 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
25.1%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
23.9%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
23.5%
5.9%
Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 30. Kuen A. 8. Teague R. 14. Arzani D. 28. Younis M. 17. Caputo M. 11. Rashani E.
20. Thomas L. (C) 14. Cancar P. 25. Brillante J. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 3. Gersbach A. 8. Ugarkovic S. 32. Thurgate A. 5. Scicluna D. 21. Hammond A. 38. Rose J. 23. Kraev B.
Substitutes
60. Charles L. (G) 2. Delbridge H. 39. Durakovic E. 15. Nabbout A. 47. Rahmani K. 19. Schreiber Z. 36. Shillington H.
37. Abdul-Rahman A. 17. Carluccio J. 30. Holmes J. (G) 45. Kuol A. 39. Lual A. 53. Morrison O. 19. Tongyik R.
Coaches
Vidmar A.
van Egmond G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Younis M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kuen A. ⚽, Younis M. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Younis M. ⚽,
43', Kuen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Teague R. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Rashani E. ⚽, Younis M. (A),
62', Rose J. 🟨,
66', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
66', Rashani E. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
67', Scicluna D. ↓, Lual A. ↑,
67', Younis M. 🟨,
72', Kuen A. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
75', Pantazopoulos A. 🟨,
80', Rose J. ↓, Kuol A. ↑,
83', Arzani D. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
85', Thurgate A. 🟨,
88', Atkinson N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.
Melbourne City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Western Sydney's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Melbourne City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopane A.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Western Sydney: Simmons A.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:27. (average 2.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).
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Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 
Ferreyra G. 
Souprayen S. 
Kuen A. 
Rashani E. 
Cancar P. 
Pantazopoulos A. 
Scicluna D. 
Kraev B. 
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