Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bristol City		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.66	4	5
	1.43	4.45	6.9	Watch
	1.43	4.65	6.9
	1.67	3.8	5
	1.44	4.55	7.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)	4.33 ↑ (3.8)	6.23 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
62.9%

Draw
21.9%

Milton Keynes Dons
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	12.5%	4.2%

Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - MK Dons (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Bristol City (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 6 - 60%). MK Dons (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lumley J. (G) 19. Tanner G. 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 17. Sykes M. 12. Knight J. (C) 4. Randell A. 31. Morrison E. 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 25. Yeboah E.	27. Trueman C. (G) 4. Thompson N. (C) 21. Ekpiteta M. 35. Waller C. 16. Nemane A. 18. Collar W. 6. Kelly L. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 17. Leko J. 9. Hogan S.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 6. Bird M. 7. Hirakawa Y. 2. McCrorie R. 18. Riis E. 24. Roberts H. 26. Stokes J. 32. Thomas L. (G)	7. Crowley D. 8. Gilbey A. 2. Jones G. 1. MacGillivray C. (G) 11. Mendez-Laing N. 15. Offord L. 13. Paterson C. 32. Sanders J. 14. Tomlinson J.
Coaches
Struber G.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Knight J. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
31', Thompson N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kelly L. ↓, Gilbey A. ↑,
46', Morrison E. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
46', Yeboah E. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
54', Hogan S. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Hirakawa Y. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
62', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
62', Mehmeti A. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
62', Hogan S. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
63', Thompson N. ↓, Offord L. ↑,
63', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
71', Collar W. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,
75', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.

MK Dons has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bristol City will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
09.08.25	Sheffield United - Bristol City	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Bristol City - Valladolid	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Cheltenham Town - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
English League Championship
12.05.25	Sheffield United - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
09.08.25	Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Wealdstone - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.21	Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1
English League Championship
20.02.16	Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol City	0:2
03.10.15	Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
English League One
07.02.15	Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol City	0:0
27.09.14	Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2
18.01.14	Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2
24.08.13	Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol City	2:2

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