Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Bristol City		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.85
	4.33	3.6	1.88	Watch
	4.21	3.71	1.9
	4.33	3.63	1.89
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.28	3.65	1.84	Watch
	4.1	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.57)	3.61 ↓ (3.88)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
22.6%

Draw
26.2%

West Ham United
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

26.1%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Ham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	14.3%	76.2%

Bristol City - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). West Ham will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 19. Tanner G. 26. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 2. McCrorie R. 8. Williams J. 6. James M. (C) 3. Pring C. 22. Gardner-Hickman T. 11. Mehmeti A. 15. Conway T.	1. Fabianski L. (G) 15. Mavropanos K. 4. Zouma K. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 5. Coufal V. 7. Ward-Prowse J. 28. Soucek T. 33. Emerson 17. Cornet M. 22. Benrahma S. 18. Ings D.
Substitutes
23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 9. Cornick H. 10. King A. 12. Knight J. 27. Knight-Lebel J. 30. Nelson R. 24. Roberts H. 21. Wells N.	49. Anang J. (G) 23. Areola A. (G) 42. Casey K. 2. Johnson B. 50. Marshall C. 45. Mubama D. 21. Ogbonna A. 57. Scarles O.
Coaches
Manning L.	Moyes D.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

West Ham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bristol City have a series of guest games.

In this match West Ham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
13.01.24	Preston North End - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	West Ham United - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Bristol City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
29.12.23	Birmingham City - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Watford - Bristol City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTLTW
- West Ham United
English FA Cup
07.01.24	West Ham United - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
02.01.24	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
28.12.23	Arsenal - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	West Ham United - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
20.12.23	Liverpool - West Ham United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.01.24	West Ham United - Bristol City	1:1
25.01.15	Bristol City - West Ham United	0:1
English League Championship
17.04.12	Bristol City - West Ham United	N/A

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