Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Preston North End		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.50	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.55
	2.85	3.30	2.40	Watch
	2.87	3.54	2.49
	2.89	3.43	2.41	Watch
	2.70	3.50	2.60
	2.85	3.53	2.53	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.61)	3.44 ↑ (3.41)	2.5 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
34.4%

Draw
27.6%

Bristol City
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Preston North End - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bristol City will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 4. Clarke H. 6. Lindsay L. 19. Gibson L. (C) 17. Mills S. 7. Devine A. 15. Thompson J. 27. Leroy L. 12. Wiley C. 9. Erabi J. 37. Burgzorg D.	1. Tickle S. (G) 38. Eile N. 16. Dickie R. 2. Eissat L. 21. Cardines R. 12. Knight J. (C) 4. Randell A. 7. Hirakawa Y. 10. Twine S. 20. Greenwood S. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
30. Gryba G. 10. Lang C. 23. Moran A. 21. Nicholls L. (G) 24. Offiah O. 11. Small T. 14. Storey J. 2. Valentin P. 3. Vukcevic A.	45. Adebayo E. 23. Ballard D. 11. Bell S. 40. Collins B. (G) 14. Horvat T. 3. Pring C. 17. Wallace J. 8. Williams J. 27. Yah G.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Twine S. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
9', Thompson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Wiley C. ⚽,
59', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
59', Randell A. ↓, Yah G. ↑,
59', Eile N. ↓, Pring C. ↑,
66', Wiley C. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
67', Erabi J. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
69', Greenwood S. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Eissat L. ⚽, Cardines R. (A),
82', Devine A. ↓, Moran A. ↑,
83', Lindsay L. 🟨,
84', Tolaj L. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Ballard D. ⚽,
90', Mills S. ↓, Small T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.

Recent form of Preston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bristol City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Preston: Potts B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Carroll T. (Ankle Injury) McCann A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Adebayo E. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Preston won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 1.02% Preston: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol City - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
29.08.26	Charlton Athletic - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Preston North End - Everton	0:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Preston North End - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Preston North End - Huddersfield Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
29.08.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Birmingham City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Bristol City - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
06.08.26	Bristol City - Walsall	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Exeter City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.01.26	Bristol City - Preston North End	0:2
27.09.25	Preston North End - Bristol City	0:0
03.05.25	Bristol City - Preston North End	2:2
02.11.24	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:3
13.01.24	Preston North End - Bristol City	2:0
05.08.23	Bristol City - Preston North End	1:1
04.02.23	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:2

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