Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Birmingham City		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.60	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.40	4.40
	1.77	3.60	4.40	Watch
	1.76	3.80	4.84
	1.91	3.65	3.91	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.80
	1.73	3.62	4.71	Watch
	1.74	3.65	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.63 ↓ (3.64)	4.54 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
53.6%

Draw
25.8%

Bristol City
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Birmingham City aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Birmingham City - Bristol City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Vicente C. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 28. Stansfield J. 9. Priske A.	1. Tickle S. (G) 21. Cardines R. 19. Tanner G. 2. Eissat L. 16. Dickie R. 12. Knight J. (C) 8. Williams J. 7. Hirakawa Y. 17. Wallace J. 10. Twine S. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 33. Ducksch M. 23. Fry D. 27. Fujimoto K. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 25. Lund K. 16. Roberts P. 32. Vazquez L.	5. Atkinson R. 23. Ballard D. 11. Bell S. 40. Collins B. (G) 38. Eile N. 20. Greenwood S. 14. Horvat T. 18. Riis E. 27. Yah G.
Coaches
Davies C.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Twine S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Tickle S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
62', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
63', Vicente C. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
65', Tolaj L. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
65', Wallace J. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
71', Williams J. ↓, Yah G. ↑,
71', Twine S. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
78', Roberts P. 🟨,
79', Priske A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
84', Stansfield J. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Cardines R. (A),
90+1', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Atkinson R. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Gray D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Knight J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.

Birmingham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bristol City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Birmingham is a strong favorite.

We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 2% Bristol City: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
15.08.26	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Birmingham City - Barcelona	3:2 penalties ✺
25.07.26	Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Burton Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
15.08.26	Bristol City - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
06.08.26	Bristol City - Walsall	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Exeter City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Bristol City - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.04.26	Birmingham City - Bristol City	2:1
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0
29.12.23	Birmingham City - Bristol City	0:0
19.08.23	Bristol City - Birmingham City	0:2
14.01.23	Bristol City - Birmingham City	4:2
08.10.22	Birmingham City - Bristol City	3:0
05.03.22	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:2

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