Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Bristol Rovers		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	1.91	3.6	3.75
	1.95	3.5	4
	1.98	3.3	3.7
	2.01	3.49	3.99
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.06	3.62	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	3.8 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
47.9%

Draw
27.2%

AFC Wimbledon
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

20.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Bristol Rovers has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wimbledon has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bristol Rovers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
09.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	4:1 ✺
06.03.21	Hull City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
23.02.21	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
09.03.21	AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
02.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	AFC Wimbledon - Hull City	0:3 ✺
23.02.21	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
English League One
05.12.20	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	2:4
26.12.19	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:2
21.09.19	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	1:3
19.04.19	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	1:1
23.10.18	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	2:0
17.02.18	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	1:0

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