The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 27.5%
Draw 27.6%
Bristol Rovers 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
25.5%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
26.5%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+5%)
Gillingham - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 14. McKenzie R. 34. King E. 16. Brophy J. 11. Sillah L. 24. Waldock H. 10. Hale R.
1. Young B. (G) 2. James T. 4. Balmer K. 17. Kelly C. 14. Purrington B. 21. Smallwood R. (C) 6. Mola C. 7. Forde S. 11. Aitchison J. 10. Kamwa B. 19. Harrison E.
Substitutes
20. Daley J. 9. Goodwin W. 13. Holtam T. (G) 18. Kendall S. 27. Luxton M. 12. McCleary G. 29. Webster H.
32. Binns C. (G) 29. Cavegn F. 5. Kilgour A. 9. Quigley J. 8. Russell-Denny R. 27. Sanyaolu P. 3. Sparkes J.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Evans S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Brophy J. ⚽, Waldock H. (A),
62', Hale R. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
64', Kamwa B. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
65', Harrison E. 🟨,
68', Balmer K. 🟨,
72', Forde S. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
75', Sillah L. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
80', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
83', King E. ↓, Luxton M. ↑,
83', Waldock H. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Kendall S. ⚽, Freeman N. (A),
89', 3 - 0, Kendall S. ⚽,
90+5', McCleary G. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
Gillingham is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Bristol Rovers have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bristol Rovers holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Dack B.
(Inactive)
Maclorg L.
(Inactive)
Obiero Z.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Bristol Rovers: Gough K.
(Inactive)
Leigh T.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Gillingham: Albarus Z.
(Inactive)
Antwi C.
(Inactive)
Goodwin W.
(Injury)
Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
Little A.
(Inactive)
Tabares S.
(Inactive).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Gillingham has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:10 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gillingham against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:5 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).
Watch
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Wright O. (G) 
Beckles O. (C) 
King E. 
Sillah L. 
Hale R. 
Kelly C. 
Aitchison J. 
Kamwa B. 
Kendall S. 
McCleary G. 
Cavegn F. 
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