Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 19

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Eltringham G. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.7	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.9
	4.75	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.77	3.89	1.73
	4.4	3.65	1.77	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.8
	4.83	3.66	1.73	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (4.01)	3.7 ↓ (3.76)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
20.8%

Draw
25.5%

Bolton Wanderers
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.9%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.1%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josh Griffiths 5. James Wilson 4. Taylor Moore 17. Connor Taylor 27. Bryant Bilongo 29. Jamie Lindsay 23. Luke McCormick 19. Isaac Hutchinson 22. Kamil Conteh 28. Shaqai Forde 18. Chris Martin	1. Nathan Baxter 5. Ricardo Santos 2. Gethin Jones 6. George Johnston 8. Joshua Sheehan 12. Josh Dacres-Cogley 27. Randell Williams 28. Jay Matete 4. George Thomason 10. Dion Charles 19. Aaron Collins
Substitutes
6. Clinton Mola 24. Gatlin O'Donkor 8. Grant Ward 11. Luke Thomas 25. Michael Forbes 10. Ruel Sotiriou 7. Scott Sinclair	45. John Mcatee 14. Jordi Osei-Tutu 17. Klajdi Lolos 20. Luke Southwood 37. Scott Arfield 9. Victor Adeboyejo 15. William Forrester
Coaches
Taylor M.	Evatt I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Martin C. (Pen),
38', 1 - 1, Morley A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Schon S. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Martin C. ⚽, Sotiriou R. (A),
68', Murphy A. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, McAtee J. ⚽, Morley A. (A),
71', Martin C. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
76', Senior J. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
83', Mola C. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
83', Shaw K. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
83', Moore T. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
84', Jones G. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
84', Thomason G. ↓, Forino-Joseph C. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Taylor C. ⚽,
90+2', Forde S. 🟨,
90+4', Swinkels S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
08.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Rotherham United	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLL
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
08.03.25	Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
06.04.24	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
16.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:2
07.05.23	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	2:3
02.12.22	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:1
28.01.20	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:1
22.10.19	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
28.02.17	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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