Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Russell M. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.67
	2.12	3.25	3.51	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.5
	2.13	3.35	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)	3.28 ↓ (3.41)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
44.2%

Draw
28.8%

Bristol Rovers
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Odimayo A. 3. McGowan A. 35. Dyche M. 7. Hoskins S. 29. Shaw L. 16. Taylor T. 10. Pinnock M. 18. McGeehan C. 15. Costelloe D. 24. Fosu T.	31. Ward J. (G) 32. Hunt J. 5. Wilson J. 17. Taylor C. 3. Sousa L. 11. Thomas L. 10. Sotiriou R. 19. Hutchinson I. 26. Butcher M. 7. Sinclair S. 18. Martin C.
Substitutes
26. Baldwin J. 1. Burge L. (G) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 23. Hondermarck W. 8. Perry B. 6. Willis J. 11. Wilson J.	29. Lindsay J. 4. Moore T. 30. Reindorf M. 36. Roberts M. (G) 2. Senior J. 37. Shaw K. 25. Swinkels S.
Coaches
Nolan K.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Sinclair S. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
48', Sotiriou R. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
60', Taylor C. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Costelloe D. ⚽, Dyche M. (A),
76', Fosu T. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Guinness-Walker N. ⚽, McGeehan C. (A),
80', McGeehan C. 🟨,
81', Thomas L. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
88', Costelloe D. ↓, Perry B. ↑,
90', McGowan A. ↓, Baldwin J. ↑,
90+4', Pinnock M. 🟨,
90+4', Wilson J. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 19 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Northampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Northampton will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Eyoma T. (Hamstring Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Mbete L. (Hamstring Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Injury) Forde S. (Red Card) O'Donkor G. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury) Sawyers R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Northampton: Koiki A. (Muscle Injury) Roberts T. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:33 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
15.02.25	Northampton Town - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Mansfield Town - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Northampton Town - Huddersfield Town	3:2 ✺
28.01.25	Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 LWWLT
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
18.02.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	3:1 ✺
11.02.25	Bristol Rovers - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
28.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	1:0
17.02.24	Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers	3:1
28.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	2:1
English League Two
19.03.22	Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1
13.11.21	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	2:1
English League One
10.04.21	Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1
03.10.20	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	2:0

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