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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 39.9%
Draw 26.8%
Chesterfield 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
27.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
27.7%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Chesterfield (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 26. Harbottle R. 10. Akhamrich Y. 6. Mola C. 15. De Havilland R. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 19. Harrison E. 29. Cavegn F.
1. Hemming Z. (G) 29. Curtis S. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 26. Swinkels S. 46. Pearce T. 4. Naylor T. 36. Braybrooke S. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
24. Leigh T. 27. Quigley J. 35. Rijks M. 2. Senior J. 36. Smallwood R. 1. Southwood L. (G) 14. Thompson-Sommers K.
28. Berry-McNally J. 25. Dickson W. 17. Dobra A. 44. Donacien J. 9. Grigg W. 45. Ladapo F. 6. McFadzean K.
Coaches
Evans S.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Harbottle R. (A),
43', Mola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Bonis L. 🟨,
54', De Havilland R. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
55', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
55', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Quigley J. (A),
61', 2 - 2, Naylor T. ⚽,
71', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
71', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
71', Mandeville L. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
75', Kilgour A. 🟨,
77', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Berry-McNally J. ⚽, Curtis S. (A),
85', Markanday D. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
85', Markanday D. 🟨,
90+2', Harbottle R. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
90+6', Forde S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Hobson B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Lockyer T.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Gordon L.
(Injury)
Grimes J.
(Inactive)
Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Chesterfield: 9.07% Bristol Rovers: 8.17%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chesterfield
10
4
3
3
17:14
3
15
9
Bristol Rovers
10
5
0
5
15:17
-2
15
Last Results with these Odds
Chesterfield - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.13%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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Young B. (G) 
Balmer K. 
Akhamrich Y. 
Harrison E. 
Cavegn F. 
Curtis S. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Swinkels S. 
Dobra A. 
Donacien J. 
Evans S. 
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