Match Info

League Two - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Salford City		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.77	3.75	4.1
	1.6	4.25	4.7
	1.63	4.27	4.88
	1.73	3.82	4.36	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.6
	1.63	3.92	5.03	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)	4 ↑ (3.81)	4.65 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
56.6%

Draw
23.3%

Bristol Rovers
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Salford City - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Salford City will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Salford City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 8. Grant J. 19. Mnoga H. 21. Cesay K. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 26. Graydon R. 23. Udoh D.	13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 26. Harbottle R. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 3. Sparkes J. 8. Hutchinson I. 14. Thompson-Sommers K. 7. Forde S. 15. De Havilland R. 11. Thomas L. 29. Cavegn F.
Substitutes
4. Ashley O. 3. Berkoe K. 18. Butcher M. 33. Howard M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 27. Siri N. 7. Woodburn B.	70. Akhamrich Y. 22. Conteh K. 19. Harrison E. 12. Lockyer T. 4. Moore T. 2. Senior J. 1. Southwood L. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Graydon R. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
29', Garbutt L. 🟨,
43', Mnoga H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kilgour A. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
46', Thomas L. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
46', Hutchinson I. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
70', Forde S. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
70', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
70', Mnoga H. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
78', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
83', Grant J. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
83', Cesay K. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).

Salford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bristol Rovers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bristol Rovers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Salford is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Salford: Bird J. (Inactive) Edwards T. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) Oluwo A. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Injury)

We predict that Salford will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 19.35% Bristol Rovers: 8.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19
9	Bristol Rovers	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.04%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Bristol Rovers - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.57%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English FA Cup
20.01.26	Salford City - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
English League Two
17.01.26	Swindon Town - Salford City	2:3 ✺
01.01.26	Barrow - Salford City	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Salford City - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTW
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
17.01.26	Bristol Rovers - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	3:4 ✺
English League Two
01.01.26	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:3 ✺
29.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Bromley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.09.25	Bristol Rovers - Salford City	2:1
15.04.22	Bristol Rovers - Salford City	1:0
23.11.21	Salford City - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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