Match Info

Championship - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.24	3.68	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.71
	2.03	3.38	3.78	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.11	3.22	3.54	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	3.64 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
45.2%

Draw
28.8%

Oxford United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Charlton Athletic - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Oxford (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charlton Athletic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 3 - 60%). Oxford (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. (C) 3. Gillesphey M. 6. Coventry C. 28. Bree J. 14. Carey S. 22. Olaofe T. 18. Anderson K. 30. Apter R. 11. Leaburn M.	1. Cumming J. (G) 6. Helik M. (C) 29. Davies B. 3. Brown C. 15. Spencer B. 4. Vaulks W. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 22. Leigh G. 11. ter Haar Romeny O. 16. Prelec N. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 10. Docherty G. 36. Gough K. 23. Kelman C. 41. Knibbs H. 25. Mannion W. (G) 26. Rankin-Costello J. 15. Roussillon J.	26. Currie J. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Harris L. 21. Ingram M. (G) 50. Krastev F. 27. Lankshear W. 2. Long S. 17. Mills S. 7. Placheta P.
Coaches
Jones N.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Olaofe T. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
66', ter Haar Romeny O. ↓, Goodrham T. ↑,
73', Anderson K. ↓, Docherty G. ↑,
73', Apter R. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
75', Harris M. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
75', Prelec N. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Kelman C. ⚽, Campbell T. (A),
80', Jones L. 🟨,
81', Vaulks W. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
81', Spencer B. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
89', Ramsay K. ↓, Gough K. ↑,
90+8', Leaburn M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 0.

Charlton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oxford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charlton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Charlton: Bell A. (Injury) Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury) Hernandez O. (Injury)

There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Injury) Phillips M. (Thigh Injury) Placheta P. (Calf Injury) Spencer B. (Leg Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
13.12.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLL
- Oxford United
English League Championship
13.12.25	Oxford United - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
09.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Swansea City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.01.24	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:2
26.08.23	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1
29.12.22	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	3:1
01.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:1
19.02.22	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	0:4
14.08.21	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1
06.03.21	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	0:0

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