Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.25	3.5	2.87
	2.25	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.36	3.59	3.02
	2.1	3.6	3
	2.27	3.65	2.97	Watch
	2.23	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.1)	3.59 ↑ (3.58)	2.94 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
41.8%

Draw
26.2%

Barnsley
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	26.3%	21.1%

Oxford United - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Barnsley will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 15. Stevens F. 8. Brannagan C. 18. McGuane M. 12. Bennett J. 20. Rodrigues R. 9. Harris M. 19. Goodrham T.	1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Williams J. (C) 6. Durand de Gevigney M. 41. Shepherd J. 3. Russell J. 22. O'Keeffe C. 30. Phillips A. 8. Kane H. 7. Cadden N. 45. McAtee J. 44. Cole D.
Substitutes
16. Burey T. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 17. Henry J. 22. Leigh G. 6. McEachran J. 14. Smyth O. 4. Thorniley J.	40. Atkinson A. 68. Bland J. 9. Cosgrove S. 17. Cotter B. 23. Killip B. (G) 4. Lopata K. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Collins N.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.

Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnsley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.

Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
13.01.24	Carlisle United - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Coventry City - Oxford United	6:2 ✺
English League One
01.01.24	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
29.12.23	Oxford United - Derby County	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- Barnsley FC
English League One
16.01.24	Barnsley - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Peterborough United - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
26.12.23	Port Vale - Barnsley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.08.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	1:3
22.04.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	2:0
01.02.23	Oxford United - Barnsley	1:2
29.01.19	Oxford United - Barnsley	2:2
04.08.18	Barnsley - Oxford United	4:0
English EFL Trophy
03.04.16	Barnsley - Oxford United	3:2

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