Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Bristol Rovers		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.8
	4.33	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.51	3.54	1.86
	4.4	3.55	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.83
	4.39	3.68	1.81	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.73)	3.55 ↑ (3.51)	1.83 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
21.6%

Draw
26.6%

Wrexham
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.7%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Bristol Rovers - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Griffiths J. (G) 5. Wilson J. 17. Taylor C. 25. Forbes M. 4. Moore T. 22. Conteh K. 29. Lindsay J. 6. Mola C. 7. Sinclair S. 23. McCormick L. 18. Martin C.	21. Howard M. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 29. Barnett R. 8. Cannon A. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O.
Substitutes
28. Forde S. 19. Hutchinson I. 9. Omochere P. 2. Senior J. 10. Sotiriou R. . Thomas L. 8. Ward G.	15. Dobson G. 22. Faal M. 26. Fletcher S. 32. Foster B. (G) 10. Mullin P. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽, James M. (A),
22', Forbes M. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
36', Lee E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
45+4', Thomas L. 🟨,
45+5', Palmer O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moore T. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
46', Sinclair S. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
48', O'Connell E. 🟨,
57', Lindsay J. 🟨,
67', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
73', McCormick L. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
79', Mola C. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
84', Cannon A. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Omochere P. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
90+6', Wilson J. 🟨,
90+6', McClean J. 🟨,
90+6', Fletcher S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bristol Rovers have a series of guest games.

Recently Wrexham have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
14.12.24	Birmingham City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
03.12.24	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLWLW
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
14.12.24	Wrexham - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Burton Albion - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
03.12.24	Wrexham - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.12.14	Wrexham - Bristol Rovers	0:0
09.09.14	Bristol Rovers - Wrexham	1:0

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