Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wrexham		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.58	4.02	5.4
	1.6	3.94	5.39	Watch
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.54	4.05	5.36	Watch
	1.55	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	4 ↓ (4.05)	5.24 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
59.4%

Draw
23%

Crewe Alexandra
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Foster B. (G) 34. James A. 24. Scarr D. 6. O'Connor T. (C) 14. Forde A. 30. Jones J. 15. Dobson G. 33. Adam J. 19. Mendy J. 22. Faal M. 28. Bodvarsson J.	12. Marschall F. (G) 24. Finney C. 18. Connolly J. 3. Knight-Lebel J. 28. Billington L. 4. Williams Z. (C) 23. Powell J. 19. Lunt O. 26. Breckin K. 21. Roberts F. 29. Thibaut A.
Substitutes
8. Cannon A. 4. Cleworth M. 41. Hall L. (G) 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 9. Palmer O. 23. Revan S.	2. Cooney R. 22. Dancey S. 17. Holicek M. 31. Lenarcik M. (G) 6. Sanders M. H. 11. Tabiner J. 27. Taylor O.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Jones J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Finney C. ↓, Tabiner J. ↑,
63', Thibaut A. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
63', Williams Z. ↓, Cooney R. ↑,
65', Bodvarsson J. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
65', Adam J. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
67', Connolly J. 🟨,
77', Mendy J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
78', Forde A. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, James A. ⚽, Mullin P. (A),
84', Breckin K. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
84', Roberts F. ↓, Dancey S. ↑,

Preview

Wrexham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Crewe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
07.12.24	Burton Albion - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
03.12.24	Wrexham - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Wrexham - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Stockport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
07.12.24	Crewe Alexandra - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Crewe Alexandra - Notts County	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.04.24	Crewe Alexandra - Wrexham	0:3
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Wrexham	0:3
English League Two
30.09.23	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	3:3
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	0:1

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