Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 18

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Wrexham		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.45	3.4	2.7
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.57	3.5	2.75
	2.47	3.37	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.75
	2.52	3.5	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3.42 ↓ (3.49)	2.72 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
37.6%

Draw
27.6%

Barnsley
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Wrexham - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Burton C. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 29. Barnett R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O.	23. Killip B. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 4. Roberts M. 32. Earl J. 7. O'Keeffe C. 8. Phillips A. 48. Connell L. (C) 3. Russell J. 17. Gent G. 44. Humphrys S. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
Substitutes
8. Cannon A. 22. Faal M. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 10. Mullin P. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.	9. Cosgrove S. 18. Craig M. 11. Jalo F. 15. Lofthouse K. 50. Nwakali K. 5. Pines D. 12. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Burton C. ↓, Howard M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Russell J. 🟨,
66', Humphrys S. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
69', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
69', Lee E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
72', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
72', McClean J. 🟨,
75', Dobson G. 🟨,
75', Gent G. ↓, Pines D. ↑,
85', Connell L. 🟨,
86', James M. 🟨,
87', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Lofthouse K. ↑,
88', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Cosgrove S. ↑,
90+2', Dobson G. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Rathbone O. ⚽, O'Connell E. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barnsley have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Wrexham - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Stockport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Port Vale - Wrexham	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Barnsley FC
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Barnsley - Reading	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Cambridge United - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLTW

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