Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 11

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.11	3.25	4.07
	2.02	3.18	3.9	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.7
	2.01	3.44	3.79	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	3.74 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
45.7%

Draw
29%

Lincoln City
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Wrexham - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Burton C. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 29. Barnett R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O.	1. Wickens G. (G) 23. Roughan S. 2. Darikwa T. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 12. Ring E. 14. McGrandles C. 6. Erhahon E. 16. Jefferies D. 9. Cadamarteri B. 28. Moylan J. 27. Makama J.
Substitutes
8. Cannon A. 22. Faal M. 21. Howard M. (G) 10. Mullin P. 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.	34. Draper F. 17. Duffy D. 11. Hamilton E. 5. Jackson A. 10. McKiernan J. J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 29. Street R.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Brunt L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Cadamarteri B. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Darikwa T. (Own goal),
73', Lee E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
73', Ring E. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
77', James M. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
82', McGrandles C. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
82', Makama J. ↓, Street R. ↑,
89', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
23.11.24	Wrexham - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Stockport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Port Vale - Wrexham	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- Lincoln City
English League One
23.11.24	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
16.11.24	Exeter City - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Lincoln City - Manchester City U21	5:0 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.24	Chesham United - Lincoln City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.16	Lincoln City - Wrexham	1:0
04.10.16	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:2
23.01.16	Wrexham - Lincoln City	3:1
05.09.15	Lincoln City - Wrexham	1:1
21.03.15	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:1
18.10.14	Lincoln City - Wrexham	1:1
21.04.14	Wrexham - Lincoln City	0:1

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