Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Burton Albion		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.87
	4.2	3.5	1.87	Watch
	4.26	3.61	1.89
	4.2	3.42	1.87	Watch
	4	3.4	1.91
	4.21	3.6	1.87	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.97)	3.48 ↓ (3.53)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
22.5%

Draw
27.1%

Wrexham
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.5%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.7%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Burton Albion - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Wrexham will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crocombe M. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. 20. Sraha J. 25. Gilligan C. 4. Watt E. (C) 33. Chauke K. 32. Bennett M. 7. Kalinauskas T. 18. Burrell R.	21. Howard M. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. (C) 3. Brunt L. 29. Barnett R. 8. Cannon A. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 23. Revan S. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O.
Substitutes
21. Bannon A. 11. Bodin B. 12. Hazlehurst J. 13. Isted H. (G) 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 34. Whitfield B. 19. Williams D.	22. Faal M. 26. Fletcher S. 32. Foster B. (G) 19. Mendy J. 10. Mullin P. 6. O'Connor T. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Sraha J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽,
68', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
71', Burrell R. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
79', Cannon A. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
79', Lee E. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
80', Gilligan C. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
86', Watt E. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
04.12.24	Peterborough United - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.12.24	Burton Albion - Tamworth	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Burton Albion - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLLW
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
03.12.24	Wrexham - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Wrexham - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Wrexham - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Stockport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Port Vale - Wrexham	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wrexham - Burton Albion	2:3

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