Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 10

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.10	4.80
	1.49	4.25	5.1
	1.57	4.4	5.06
	1.55	4.38	5.27	Watch
	1.5	4.25	4.95
	1.49	4.05	5.31
	1.49	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	4.25 ↓ (4.31)	5.1 ↓ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
60.5%

Draw
21.5%

Trefelin
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.2%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Briton Ferry Llansawel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Briton Ferry will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 20. Anderson O. 2. Bates L. 16. Bates M. 15. Cooper L. 4. Gammond A. 21. Jones J. 7. Owen R. 3. Packer D. 8. Price T. 9. Walters T.	1. Coughlan S. (G) 20. Aman B. 10. Brock T. 7. Georgievsky K. 9. John D. 14. Jones J. 19. Jones J. 5. MacDonald S. 26. Owen K. 2. Thomas M. 11. Ware L.
Substitutes
14. Bowen L. 26. Cadeau T. 25. Gilpin D. (G) 22. Herdman L. 17. Jenkins T. 12. Lloyd J.	35. Davies O. 18. Degelman O. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 21. Jones H. (G) 15. Parker K. 16. Piper R. 12. Saunders C.
Coaches
Dyer A.	Hill A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', John D. ↓, Degelman O. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Gammond A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Brock T. ⚽,
70', Anderson O. ↓, Bowen L. ↑,
80', Aman B. ↓, Piper R. ↑,
87', Packer D. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 12th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 15th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 4.

Briton Ferry has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Trefelin has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Briton Ferry is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Briton Ferry has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 19:7 (averaging 2.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Briton Ferry against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Briton Ferry: 0.82% Trefelin: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.26	Pen-y-Bont - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	1:4 ✺
28.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Holywell Town - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Trefelin	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
01.04.24	Trefelin - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:3
08.08.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	5:0
06.01.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	2:0
29.10.22	Trefelin - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:4
29.01.22	Trefelin - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2
10.09.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	3:1
Welsh FA Cup
03.09.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	0:3

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