The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trefelin 23.4%
Draw 24.5%
Cambrian United 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
23.4%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
22.5%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Trefelin - Cambrian United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cambrian United will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Coughlan S. (G) 20. Aman B. 4. Caramella-Gerrard L. 8. Davies J. 35. Davies O. 18. Degelman O. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 9. John D. 14. Jones J. 17. Phillips L. 12. Saunders C.
1. Absalom K. (G) 15. Beecher J. 40. Bright H. 10. Eason L. 4. Evans A. 6. John A. 5. Jones K. 18. Lewis K. 12. Strinati C. 7. Thomas F. 8. Woodford J.
Substitutes
10. Brock T. 7. Georgievsky K. 21. Jones H. (G) 19. Jones J. 16. Piper R. 33. Pockett L. 11. Ware L.
36. Allen J. 9. Bonthron A. 19. Hughes C. 23. Joseph J. 20. Karadogan J. 13. Morgan M. (G) 14. Morris J.
Coaches
Hill A.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Bright H. 🟨,
27', Eason L. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 0 - 1, John A. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Phillips L. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
46', Davies J. ↓, Ware L. ↑,
46', Thomas F. ↓, Hughes C. ↑,
46', Aman B. ↓, Georgievsky K. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Eason L. ⚽,
59', Lewis K. ↓, Karadogan J. ↑,
59', Degelman O. ↓, Brock T. ↑,
68', Jones J. ↓, Piper R. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, John A. ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, Eason L. ⚽,
79', Evans A. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
80', Beecher J. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
83', Eason L. ↓, Bonthron A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 3.
Trefelin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cambrian United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cambrian United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 2.2:2.8).
Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now
Cambrian United: 0.82% Trefelin: 0.82%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Cambrian United
12
5
3
4
21:32
-11
18
15
Trefelin
12
0
3
9
5:30
-25
3
Last Results with these Odds
Trefelin - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Wales
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Coughlan S. (G) 
Aman B. 
Degelman O. 
Georgievsky K. 
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