Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Bromley		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.78	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.79	4.33
	1.81	3.79	4.33
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.75	3.76	4.1
	1.77	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	4.05 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromley
51.9%

Draw
25.4%

Aldershot Town
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bromley's performance.

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bromley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Bromley - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Bromley will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith G. (G) 9. Cheek M. 11. Dennis L. 3. Elerewe D. 4. Leigh L. 7. Passley J. 2. Reynolds C. 23. Topalloj B. 21. Vennings J. 17. Webster B. 18. Whitely C.	1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 22. Barham J. 8. Frost T. 11. Glover R. 3. Harfield O. 4. Harries C. 17. Jones A. (C) 5. Rowe C. 10. Stokes J. 9. Tolaj L. 27. Willard T.
Substitutes
28. Krauhaus B. 25. Miller T. 29. Olomola O. 8. Taylor-Hart K. 6. Woods S.	20. Haigh J. 24. Mullins M. 34. Tetek D. 39. Thomas K. 31. Turner O.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bromley won 3.

Bromley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bromley is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Bromley won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Bromley won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromley FC
English National League
18.11.23	Bromley - Fylde	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Boreham Wood - Bromley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Bromley - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Woking - Bromley	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Bromley - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLWW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
18.11.23	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Swindon Town - Aldershot Town	4:7 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.01.23	Bromley - Aldershot Town	2:2
20.08.22	Aldershot Town - Bromley	0:1
26.04.22	Bromley - Aldershot Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Aldershot Town - Bromley	0:2
English National League
23.10.21	Aldershot Town - Bromley	2:3
22.05.21	Aldershot Town - Bromley	2:3
30.01.21	Bromley - Aldershot Town	2:0

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