Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Aldershot Town		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.15	3.52	3.51
	2.1	3.52	3.51
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	2	3.5	3.38
	2.1	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	3.47 ↓ (3.47)	3.35 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
45.5%

Draw
26.8%

Kidderminster Harriers
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Users Predictions: Aldershot Town will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 22. Barham J. 8. Frost T. 11. Glover R. 3. Harfield O. 4. Harries C. 17. Jones A. (C) 2. Mnoga H. 10. Stokes J. 9. Tolaj L. 6. Widdrington T.	21. Dibble C. (G) 24. Hobson B. 22. Maguire B. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C. 20. Robinson S. 37. Tollitt B.
Substitutes
24. Mullins M. 5. Rowe C. 34. Tetek D. 39. Thomas K. 27. Willard T.	14. Brown Z. 11. Lambert J. 15. McDonagh G. 19. McLean R. 16. Preston M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 2.

Aldershot is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kidderminster is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldershot will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Swindon Town - Aldershot Town	4:7 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Aldershot Town - Lewes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWW
- Kidderminster Harriers
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
24.10.23	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Halifax Town - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.01.16	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0
14.11.15	Kidderminster Harriers - Aldershot Town	2:0
20.01.15	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
12.11.14	Kidderminster Harriers - Aldershot Town	0:2
18.03.14	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0
27.09.13	Kidderminster Harriers - Aldershot Town	0:0

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