Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Swindon Town		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6
	1.47	4.75	6
	1.45	4.5	6
	1.46	5.05	6.07
	1.45	5.06	6.07
	1.4	4.75	6
	1.45	4.75	6.2	Watch
	1.48	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	4.75 ↑ (4.55)	5.99 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
64.5%

Draw
19.8%

Aldershot Town
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

20.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Swindon Town - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mahoney M. (G) 22. Godwin-Malife U. 31. Minturn H. 12. Brewitt T. 5. Blake-Tracey F. 2. Hutton R. 8. Khan S. 28. Shade T. 6. McEachran G. 10. Kemp D. 32. Austin C. (C)	1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 17. Jones A. (C) 4. Harries C. 2. Mnoga H. 3. Harfield O. 11. Glover R. 10. Stokes J. 6. Widdrington T. 8. Frost T. 9. Tolaj L. 22. Barham J.
Substitutes
48. Alston G. 4. Clayton T. 14. Genesini B. 46. Gray H. 36. Hart S. 43. Hubbard F. 23. Kinsella L. 41. Obodo M. 44. Ward L. (G)	20. Haigh J. 24. Mullins M. 5. Rowe C. 37. Sheik J. 34. Tetek D. 39. Thomas K. 31. Turner O. 27. Willard T.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Swindon is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldershot is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Swindon is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
28.10.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
24.10.23	Swindon Town - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Salford City - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Swindon Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Reading - Swindon Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
28.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Aldershot Town - Lewes	4:1 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.04.12	Aldershot Town - Swindon Town	N/A

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