Match Info

Primera B - Round 13

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)


	Brown de Adrogué		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.4	2.89	3.14
	2.41	2.74	3.19	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3
	2.37	2.74	3.2
	2.1	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.51)	2.83 ↓ (2.86)	3.14 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
39%

Draw
32.1%

Villa San Carlos
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

31.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

32.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Brown de Adrogué - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 7. Bogado J. 6. Irusta L. 3. Ortiz A. 11. Padovani O. 8. Patrizio T. 4. Pieres M. 5. Silva J. 10. Sproat M.	1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 10. Cairo F. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 2. Machin L. 3. Martinez A. 6. Ojeda F. 11. Plastino M. 9. Salinas R. 8. Villagra J.
Substitutes
13. Cardozo D. 16. Ferrario F. 14. Galvan L. 18. Gonzalez A. 19. Luraschi G. 20. Meaurio N. 15. Rodriguez S. 17. Visco A. 12. Wysocki M. (G)	18. Almiron M. 16. Farias F. 13. Garraza M. 12. Gonzalez L. 14. Guallama F. 19. Melillo E. 17. Pavia K. 15. Ponton A. 20. Zegarra Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Plastino M. 🟨,
14', Irusta L. 🟨,
22', Villagra J. 🟨,
27', Lloyaiy A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Baez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Villagra J. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
60', Martinez A. ↓, Melillo E. ↑,
66', Bogado J. 🟨,
66', Ojeda F. 🟨,
72', Cairo F. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
73', Melillo E. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Baez B. ⚽,
77', Sproat M. ↓, Cardozo D. ↑,
77', Baez B. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
77', Ortiz A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
82', Patrizio T. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Salinas R. ⚽,
84', Machin L. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
88', Zegarra Z. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 3.

Brown de Adrogué is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa San Carlos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brown de Adrogué may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
19.04.26	Liniers - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLL
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
19.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
14.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Villa San Carlos	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Villa San Carlos - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.08.25	Brown de Adrogué - Villa San Carlos	1:0
23.03.25	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
17.10.15	Brown de Adrogué - Villa San Carlos	1:0
08.06.15	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.14	Brown de Adrogué - Villa San Carlos	2:1
15.10.13	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	1:2

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