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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 42.5%
Draw 33.4%
Deportivo Madryn 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
34.3%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
35.1%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's performance.
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Madryn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 4. Meritello F. 2. Mondino D. 6. Padilla M. (C) 3. Recalde M. 8. Romano N. 5. Antonio I. 10. Puch J. 11. Rinaldi N. 7. Solis N. 9. Silba L.
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Calderon P. 6. Braghieri D. 3. Moreno A. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. 10. Sanchez N. 11. Ferreyra B. 7. Crego D. 9. Peinipil J.
Substitutes
17. Antonini F. 18. Barboza N. 13. Esposito G. 14. Gutierrez A. 16. Herrera H. 12. Montagnino D. (G) 15. Paniagua H. 19. Salega G. 20. Spetale A.
15. Dionisio A. 19. Eseiza J. 13. Giacopuzzi F. 12. Hass J. (G) 17. Jara E. 14. Mansilla M. 20. Palacio J. 18. Porto J. 16. Zuliani H.
Coaches
Medran E.
Gracian L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Peinipil J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Padilla M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Silba L. ⚽,
40', Calderon P. 🟨,
40', Braghieri D. 🟨,
40', Bonnin Y. 🟨,
42', Mondino D. 🟨,
44', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreno A. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
46', Sanchez N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
52', Rinaldi N. ↓, Antonini F. ↑,
64', Braghieri D. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
64', Perez B. ↓, Giacopuzzi F. ↑,
66', Meritello F. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
66', Puch J. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Romano N. ⚽,
79', Calderon P. 🟨,
80', Ferreyra B. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
82', Silba L. 🟨,
83', Romano N. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
83', Silba L. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
84', Recalde M. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 3.
Recent matches Gimnasia Mendoza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportivo Madryn is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gimnasia Mendoza will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
Argentina
South-america
Watch
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Tagliamonte M. (G) 
Perez B. 
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