Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Deportivo Madryn		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.5
	1.98	2.9	4
	2.05	2.85	4.2	Watch
	2.04	2.98	4.96
	1.96	2.98	4.96
	2.05	2.88	4
	2.08	2.88	4.01
	2.01	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.88)	2.95 ↑ (2.93)	4.35 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
46.7%

Draw
31.8%

Nueva Chicago
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

31.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

32.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Deportivo Madryn - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Zules J. 6. Braghieri D. 3. Moreno A. 8. Peinipil M. 5. Recalde F. 10. Sanchez N. 7. Crego D. 11. Gimenez B. 9. Diellos D.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Martinez A. 2. Callegari S. 6. Rossi T. 3. Arroyo D. 8. Amarfil M. 5. Bottari T. 7. Balbuena R. 10. Altamirano G. 9. Castro F. 11. Paz A.
Substitutes
16. Arreguin E. 20. Ferreyra B. 12. Hass J. (G) 17. Jara E. 13. Mansilla M. 19. Palacio J. 18. Perez B. 15. Rivadero M. 14. Zuliani H.	17. Bergara M. 14. Contreras A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 18. Escobar A. 16. Fernandez G. 20. Maggi I. 13. Ramirez R. 15. Vega G. 19. Villalba R.
Coaches
Esmerado G.	Montenegro A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Madryn is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Madryn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.03.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.22	Deportivo Madryn - Nueva Chicago	1:0

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