The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 36.9%
Draw 31%
Botafogo RJ 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
30%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
31.8%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.8%
59.5%
16.7%
Avaí - Botafogo RJ Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). Botafogo will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 59.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.7% – 74.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).
Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (41.37%), has project points - 36, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has not chance of win league.
Botafogo has the most likely position - 13 (15.88%), has project points - 47, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance27, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 2.
Recent matches Avaí is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Botafogo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Avaí: Lucas Ventura
(Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo: Carlinhos
(Injury)
Daniel Borges
(Injury)
Diego Goncalves
(Injury)
Novaes de Seixas B.
(Injury)
Patrick de Paula
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Avaí won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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