Match Info

K League 1 - Round 27

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Jeju		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.30	3.40	2.10
	2.95	3.35	2.12
	3.38	3.66	2.22
	3.27	3.55	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.16
	3.16	3.72	2.14	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
29.8%

Draw
26.4%

Ulsan HD
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Jeju aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Jeju - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 47. Park Min-jae 41. Kim Jae-Woo 2. Figueiredo T. 13. Jeong Woon (C) 22. Cinari E. 5. Italo 20. Jang M. 33. Park Su-bin 94. Emerson Negueba 9. Matheus Aias	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 6. Bojanic D. 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 55. Oude Kotte T. 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 99. Yago Cariello 11. Erick Farias
Substitutes
24. Choi Byung-wook 81. Heo J. (G) 4. Heo Kang-Jun 88. Jo In-jung 39. Kim Jae-min 18. Kim Shin-Jin 7. Park Chang-Jun 11. Shin Sang-Eun 17. Yu In-Soo	31. Hwang Byeong-Keun (G) 33. Jang Si-Young 20. Jeong Jae-sang 17. Kang Sang-Woo 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 8. Lee H. 16. Park Woo-jin 4. Seo Myung-Guan 66. Trojak M.
Coaches
Costa S.	Kim Hyun-seok

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Yago Cariello 🟥,
34', Italo 🟨,
36', Erick Farias 🟨,
45+1', Matheus Aias 🟨,
45+1', Kim Young-Gwon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Jeong Woon ↓, Yu In-Soo ↑,
71', Cinari E. ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
71', Park Su-bin ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
72', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,
72', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
74', Choi Byung-wook 🟨,
76', Bojanic D. ↓, Lee Gyu-Seong ↑,
81', Park Min-jae ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
90+2', Erick Farias ↓, Trojak M. ↑,
90+2', Kim Young-Gwon ↓, Seo Myung-Guan ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Jeju has had a series of home games.

Ulsan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
30.08.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Jeju - Anyang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTLW
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
29.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1 ✺
26.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
13.05.26	Ulsan HD - Jeju	2:1
18.03.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:2
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1
09.08.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	1:0
11.05.25	Jeju - Ulsan HD	1:2
09.03.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	2:0
26.07.24	Jeju - Ulsan HD	1:0

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