Match Info

K League 1 - Round 25

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Jeju		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.10
	2.32	2.95	3
	2.53	3.19	3.12
	2.37	3.12	3.1	Watch
	2.5	3.15	3
	2.34	3.11	3.28	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.08 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
39.2%

Draw
30.4%

Pohang Steelers
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Pohang Steelers aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Jeju - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Pohang will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeju: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pohang (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (C) 88. Jo In-jung 2. Figueiredo T. 3. Celestine J. 6. Kwon Gi-min 24. Choi Byung-wook 7. Park Chang-Jun 5. Italo 18. Kim Shin-Jin 94. Emerson Negueba 47. Park Min-jae	29. Hong Sung-min (G) 2. Eo Jeong-Won 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 20. Park Chan-Yong 77. Wanderson 16. Kim Dong-Jin 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 31. Nishiya K. 7. Won Ki-Jong 18. Cho Sang-Hyeok
Substitutes
81. Heo J. (G) 20. Jang M. 13. Jeong Woon 41. Kim Jae-Woo 8. Lee Chang-Min 9. Matheus Aias 33. Park Su-bin 11. Shin Sang-Eun 77. Yoo S.	11. da Rocha Junior J. 12. Hwang J. 5. Jin Si-woo 25. Jorge Teixeira 37. Jung Han-Min 13. Kang Min-Jun 8. Kim Seung-Ho 14. Lee Chang-Woo 1. Yun Pyeong-Guk (G)
Coaches
Costa S.	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Won Ki-Jong ⚽, Hwang Seo-Woong (A),
44', Cho Sang-Hyeok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Figueiredo T. ↓, Lee Chang-Min ↑,
46', Cho Sang-Hyeok ↓, Jorge Teixeira ↑,
46', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Matheus Aias ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Nishiya K. ⚽, Kim Dong-Jin (A),
58', Jo In-jung ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
64', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Park Su-bin ↑,
72', Won Ki-Jong ↓, Kim Seung-Ho ↑,
72', Ki Sung-Yueng ↓, da Rocha Junior J. ↑,
77', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, Jin Si-woo ↑,
78', Kim Shin-Jin ↓, Yoo S. ↑,
80', da Rocha Junior J. 🟨,
87', Nishiya K. ↓, Kang Min-Jun ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Celestine J. ⚽, Park Min-jae (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
22.08.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Jeju - Anyang	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Jeju - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWWL
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
22.08.26	Bucheon - Pohang Steelers	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Jinju Citizen	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.07.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:1
11.04.26	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	0:2
21.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	1:0
21.06.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	2:1
20.04.25	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:0
South Korean Cup
28.08.24	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	2:1
21.08.24	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:2

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