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Current Win Probability
Jeju 33.5%
Draw 29%
Gimcheon Sangmu 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
29.6%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
31.3%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 47. Park Min-jae 2. Figueiredo T. 3. Lee S. 13. Jeong Woon 20. Jang M. 11. Shin Sang-Eun 5. Italo 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 94. Emerson Negueba 9. Matheus Aias
1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 56. Lee K. 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 14. Park Se-Jin 55. Park T. 48. Hong Yun-Sang 9. Lee G.
Substitutes
24. Choi Byung-wook 81. Heo J. (G) 88. Jo In-jung 41. Kim Jae-Woo 18. Kim Shin-Jin 6. Kwon Gi-min 7. Park Chang-Jun 33. Park Su-bin 77. Yoo S.
42. Hong Si-Hoo 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 17. Kim Joo-Chan 8. Kim Yi-Seok 20. Lee Chan-Wook 15. Lim Dug-Keun 41. Park M. (G) 53. Roh Kyung-Ho
Coaches
Costa S.
Joo S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨,
45+2', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
67', Emerson Negueba ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
67', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Park Su-bin ↑,
68', Jang M. ↓, Kwon Gi-min ↑,
69', Park Se-Jin ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
69', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Kim Joo-Chan ↑,
71', Matheus Aias 🟨,
78', Matheus Aias ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
81', Lee Jung-Taek ↓, Lee Chan-Wook ↑,
82', Kim Tae-Hwan ↓, Hong Si-Hoo ↑,
85', Park T. 🟨,
89', Lee G. ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
90+7', Choi Byung-wook 🟨,
90+7', Kim Yi-Seok 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
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Kim Dong-Jun (G) 
Figueiredo T. 
Lee S. 
Italo 
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