Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.8	2.05
	2.76	3.83	2.05
	2.77	4.05	2.09	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.1
	2.83	3.88	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.31)	3.83 ↓ (3.84)	2.07 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
32.8%

Draw
23.6%

Cray Wanderers
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

24%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23.9%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgess Hill Town's form might have worsened.

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgess Hill Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgess Hill Town - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ogunwamide O. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Vorster G. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Vorster G. ⚽,
26', 2 - 2, Hernandez A. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 3 - 2, Rowe K. ⚽,
38', 4 - 2, King J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Burgess Hill won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29% Cray Wanderers: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18:12	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Cray Wanderers - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Burgess Hill Town - Cheshunt	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Chichester City - Burgess Hill Town	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Burgess Hill Town - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.26	Cray Wanderers - Welling United	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cray Wanderers - Billericay Town	3:4 ✺
28.03.26	Aveley - Cray Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Cray Wanderers - Burgess Hill Town	3:3
Club Friendly
29.08.20	Burgess Hill Town - Cray Wanderers	2:2

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