Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.45	3
	2.07	3.85	2.86
	2.03	3.79	3.02	Watch
	2	3.4	2.9
	2.08	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.03)	3.61 ↓ (3.73)	2.95 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
44.3%

Draw
25%

Burgess Hill Town
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

23.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Smith D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Clunis N. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dulwich won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dulwich might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dulwich won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dulwich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Dulwich Hamlet: 6.32% Burgess Hill: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Dulwich Hamlet	8	5	1	2	18:9	9	16
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Canvey Island - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWL
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Burgess Hill Town - Cheshunt	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Chichester City - Burgess Hill Town	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Burgess Hill Town - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
07.04.18	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
21.10.17	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	3:2
15.04.17	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:3
10.09.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	2:1
19.03.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Burgess Hill Town	1:1
19.09.15	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:2

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