Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Numancia		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.3
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.23	2.85	3.2
	2.37	2.99	3.41
	2.3	2.8	3.4
	2.32	2.84	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.52)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)	3.37 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
40.5%

Draw
32.4%

Burgos
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

33.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Burgos is Qualified for Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)

Recent matches Numancia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.03.21	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	4:1 ✺
27.02.21	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Numancia - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
21.02.21	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Covadonga - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLTW
- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.02.21	Burgos - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Marino de Luanco - Burgos	3:0 ✺
10.02.21	Burgos - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Burgos - Covadonga	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Langreo - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.12.20	Burgos - Numancia	1:0
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Numancia - Burgos	2:0
04.08.18	Numancia - Burgos	1:1
30.07.16	Numancia - Burgos	0:1
22.07.15	Numancia - Burgos	1:1
09.08.14	Numancia - Burgos	2:3
27.07.13	Burgos - Numancia	0:4

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