Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 29

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Burgos		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.6
	1.92	3.1	4.15	Watch
	1.99	3.15	4.79
	1.98	3.08	4.46	Watch
	1.95	3	4.2
	1.97	3.23	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)	3.12 ↓ (3.43)	4.38 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
48.6%

Draw
30%

Mirandés
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Burgos - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Burgos (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 10. Appin K. 16. Curro	13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 19. Maras N. 15. Cabello J. 3. Medrano F. 29. Houary A. 16. Clua S. 18. Bauza R. 28. Hernandez J. 10. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 9. Nino F. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	9. Balde S. 24. Cordoba I. 48. del Cura U. 30. El Jebari S. 6. Helguera T. 8. Martin Luis A. 1. Nikic I. (G) 4. Pascual M. 17. Perez P. 20. Sia D. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Muneta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Fernandez C. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽,
39', Medrano F. 🟨,
45+3', Perez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Maras N. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
63', Houary A. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Curro ⚽, Appin K. (A),
71', Fernandez C. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
72', Appin K. 🟨,
72', Cordoba I. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
73', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
83', Curro ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
88', El Jebari S. 🟨,
88', Sierra G. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
90+1', Atienza M. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
90+5', Medrano F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Burgos is the team to beat.

There will not play in Burgos: Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Malsa M. (Injury) Perez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Burgos: Nino F. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.02.26	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Santander - Burgos	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Burgos - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTTW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.26	Mirandés - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Huesca - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mirandés - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2
26.04.25	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1
21.04.24	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1
09.12.23	Burgos - Mirandés	0:0
23.04.23	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1
16.10.22	Burgos - Mirandés	2:1

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