Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burnley		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.50	2.15	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.20
	3.15	3.50	2.12
	3.26	3.58	2.27
	2.89	3.45	2.38	Watch
	3.15	3.50	2.20
	3.03	3.50	2.20	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.1)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	2.22 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
30.4%

Draw
27%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

26.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 21st and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Ahmedhodzic A. (Knock) Barnes A. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Muscle Injury) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Obafemi M. (Inactive) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Wolverhampton: Armstrong A. (Back Injury) Jimenez R. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Ankle Injury) Traore B. (Injury) Traore B. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Ankle Injury) Banel J. (Muscle Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Sambo S. (Inactive) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Wolverhampton: Gomes R. (Foot Injury) Ji M. (Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Burnley has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:13 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burnley against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Wolves	9	4	2	3	16:14	2	14
21	Burnley	10	1	5	4	15:19	-4	8

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wolves: 11.84% Burnley: 2.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
13.10.26	Burnley - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Watford - Burnley	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Burnley - Derby County	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Swansea City - Burnley	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Wrexham - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLT
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English League Championship
13.10.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
13.09.26	Sheffield United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.05.26	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3
English League Cup
28.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:0
English Premier League
02.04.24	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
05.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	1:0
24.04.22	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
01.12.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	0:0

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