Match Info

Championship - Round 6

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wrexham		Burnley

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.60	Watch
	2.10	3.30	3.50
	2.05	3.30	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.63	3.77
	2.1	3.58	3.37	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.60
	2.09	3.34	3.45	Watch
	2.10	3.30	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.26)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	3.55 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
45.4%

Draw
28%

Burnley
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

25.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wrexham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Wrexham - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Burnley will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Patterson A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 37. James M. 8. Whiteman B. 3. Ekomie J. 10. Windass J. 27. O'Brien L. 19. Moore K.	1. Weiss M. (G) 22. Sonne O. 2. Walker K. (C) 44. Igor 14. Roberts C. 8. Raghouber U. 3. Alleyne M. 21. Ramsey A. 29. Laurent J. 19. Ramazani L. 11. Amdouni Z.
Substitutes
33. Broadhead N. 30. Imray D. 47. Longman R. 17. O'Hare C. 20. Rathbone O. 28. Smith S. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G) 6. Worrall J.	15. Ahmedhodzic A. 27. Broja A. 30. Castell L. 47. Clark E. 37. Coudert G. (G) 18. Ekdal H. 5. Hatate R. 17. Hountondji A. 23. Lucas Pires
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Kabore I. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Amdouni Z. ⚽, Ramazani L. (A),
30', Cleworth M. ↓, Vyner Z. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', O'Brien L. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
46', Windass J. ↓, O'Hare C. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Ekomie J. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
61', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
65', Ramsey A. 🟨,
68', Igor ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
69', Ramsey A. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
78', Alleyne M. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
84', Hyam D. 🟨,
85', Ekomie J. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
86', Lucas Pires 🟨,
90', Hatate R. 🟨,

Preview

Wrexham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burnley is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wrexham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wrexham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Revan S. (Hamstring Injury) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Injury) Banel J. (Injury) Barnes A. (Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Foster L. (Inactive) Humphreys B. (Inactive) Lucas Pires (Inactive) Satpaev D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Broadhead N. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Calf Injury) Sheaf B. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 1.61% Burnley: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
22	Burnley	9	1	4	4	13:17	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Burnley - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
05.09.26	Swansea City - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Millwall - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Wrexham - Watford	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Cardiff City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLTT
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
05.09.26	Burnley - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Burnley - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Norwich City - Burnley	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Bradford City - Burnley	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Championship
23.08.26	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

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