Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay


	Burnley		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.75	5.50	Watch
	1.63	4.00	5.25
	1.60	3.85	5.30	Watch
	1.64	4.02	5.74
	1.64	3.99	5.1	Watch
	1.62	4.00	5.70
	1.62	3.94	5.03	Watch
	1.60	3.90	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	3.93 ↑ (3.75)	5.38 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
58.5%

Draw
24%

Charlton Athletic
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

24.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Burnley - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Charlton will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Burnley (1.14) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Charlton (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Coudert G. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 44. Igor 23. Lucas Pires 3. Alleyne M. 5. Hatate R. 19. Ramazani L. 29. Laurent J. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 9. Vardy J.	13. Okonkwo A. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. (C) 12. Koumetio B. 17. Bell A. 34. Skipp O. 6. Coventry C. 20. McNamara D. 9. Grant K. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M.
Substitutes
27. Broja A. 30. Castell L. 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 17. Hountondji A. 8. Raghouber U. 14. Roberts C. 22. Sonne O. 1. Weiss M. (G)	19. Alli M. 44. Bindon T. 14. Carey S. 23. Kelman C. 8. Knibbs H. 25. Mannion W. (G) 33. Mbick M. 18. Mesik I. 32. Mwamba A.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Bruun Larsen J. ⚽, Laurent J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Ramsay K. ⚽, Jones L. (A),
57', 2 - 1, Ramazani L. ⚽, Igor (A),
62', Coventry C. 🟨,
66', Igor 🟨,
71', Vardy J. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
71', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
74', Leaburn M. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
74', McNamara D. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
75', Bell A. ↓, Mesik I. ↑,
75', Skipp O. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
80', Ramazani L. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
86', Campbell T. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
90+1', Ahmedhodzic A. ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
90+4', Alleyne M. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Mesik I. ⚽, Knibbs H. (A),

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 22nd in the Relegation - League One and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5.

In recent outings, Burnley has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Charlton has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Burnley for this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Burnley has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:1 (averaging 2.3:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burnley against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:1 goals (averaging 2.3:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11:18	-7	14
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Burnley: 1.13% Charlton: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
10.10.26	Watford - Burnley	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Burnley - Derby County	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Swansea City - Burnley	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Wrexham - Burnley	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Burnley - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLTL
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
10.10.26	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Cardiff City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.05.16	Charlton Athletic - Burnley	0:3
19.12.15	Burnley - Charlton Athletic	4:0
22.03.14	Charlton Athletic - Burnley	0:3
28.09.13	Burnley - Charlton Athletic	3:0
02.03.13	Charlton Athletic - Burnley	0:1
17.11.12	Burnley - Charlton Athletic	0:1

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