Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Everton		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.47	4.50	6.50
	1.46	4.3	6.8	Watch
	1.48	4.62	6.8
	1.48	4.56	6.64	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.65
	1.47	4.55	7.1	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	4.52 ↑ (3.93)	6.71 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
64.9%

Draw
21%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton's performance.

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	14.8%	3.7%

Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Everton will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Everton will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (C) 2. Maitland-Niles A. 15. O'Brien J. 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 30. Hackney H. 37. Garner J. 20. Dibling T. 8. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.	13. Virginia J. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 24. Toti (C) 37. Krejci L. 33. Konan G. 12. Traore B. 8. James J. 14. Neave S. 20. Doyle T. 23. Chirewa T. 9. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 4. Branthwaite J. 19. George T. 58. Graham B. 22. Johnson B. 31. King T. (G) 76. Olayiwola M. 6. Tarkowski J. 12. Travers M. (G)	10. Armstrong A. 27. Bellegarde J. 3. Bueno H. 34. Djiga N. 36. Mane M. 5. Munetsi M. 26. Ruddy J. (G) 11. Traore B. 2. Trippier K.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Peixoto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tchatchoua J. 🟨,
11', Grealish J. 🟨,
38', Jimenez R. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Krejci L. ↓, Djiga N. ↑,
58', Barry T. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
63', James J. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
74', Tchatchoua J. ↓, Trippier K. ↑,
74', Chirewa T. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
77', Grealish J. ↓, George T. ↑,
77', Hackney H. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Alcaraz C. ⚽, Dibling T. (A),
90+1', Doyle T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Wolverhampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wolverhampton has had a series of away games.

In this match, Everton is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Everton: Norgaard C. (Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Said R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Clarke J. (Injury) Rohl M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Mosquera Y. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Everton won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Everton: 4.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
12.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bournemouth - Everton	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Preston North End - Everton	0:4 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTWW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English League Championship
13.09.26	Sheffield United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Birmingham City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Stoke City	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0
English Premier League
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3
08.03.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	1:1
04.12.24	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0
30.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	3:0
26.08.23	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1

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