The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 21.5%
Draw 26.5%
Bradford City 52.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.1%
28.1%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
27.7%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
Burton Albion - Bradford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bradford will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3.
In recent outings, Burton has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bradford shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Burton has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bradford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Burton: Lewis J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Bradford: Neufville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Wright T.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Burton: Lofthouse K.
(Inactive).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Burton has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:16 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Burton against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Bradford City
10
6
2
2
10:5
5
20
10
Burton
11
3
4
4
16:18
-2
13
Outrights of English League One for now
Bradford City: 8.8% Burton: 0.57%
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.