The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 45.6%
Draw 27.6%
Gillingham 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.3%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
18.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Gillingham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Burton has the most likely position - 9 (5.74%), has project points - 65, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Gillingham has the most likely position - 16 (5.5%), has project points - 60, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Burton will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Burton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.
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